Author Topic: How deadly was the 20th century compared to other?  (Read 4310 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline edubs31

  • Velikye Knyaz
  • ****
  • Posts: 1001
    • View Profile
How deadly was the 20th century compared to other?
« on: February 20, 2013, 02:22:04 PM »
Some interesting information I stumbled upon provides estimates on how truly deadly the 20th century was compared other recent centuries. Matthew White (http://necrometrics.com/) is my primary source for the information below. He estimates that 160-million people perished during the 20th century as a direct result from war and genocide.

For each of the last three centuries I've decided to list the average world population from the time, the number of casualties, and the mathematical relationship between the two. In order to estimate world population I'm taking decade by decade census estimates from each of the past three centuries and calculating their averages.

20th century (1900-99)
Avg. World Population - 3,383,000,000
Number of casualties - 160,000,000
Percentage - 4.73%
Ratio - 21.1 to 1

19th century (1800-99)
Avg. World Population - 1,297,000,000
Number of casualties - 45,000,000
Percentage - 3.47%
Ratio - 28.2 to 1

18th century (1700-99)
Avg. World Population - 817,000,000
Number of casualties - 18,000,000
Percentage - 2.20%
Ratio - 45.4 to 1

TOTAL - Human History
Total Population - 107,602,707,791
Number of casualties - 3,640,000,000
Percentage - 3.38%
Ratio - 29.6 to 1
Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right...

Offline TimM

  • Velikye Knyaz
  • ****
  • Posts: 1856
    • View Profile
    • Rex and Hannah Chronicles Wikia
Re: How deadly was the 20th century compared to other?
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2013, 03:16:10 PM »
The main reason the 20th Century was so deadly is because technology had advanced that you could now wipe out thousands at once.   The Blitz, the firebombings of Hamburg and Dresden, and the atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki come to mind here.  In the old days, you needed huge armies, now all you need to do is push a few buttons.  Also, the progress in military and travelling technology allowed the Nazis to gather millions of people and exterminate them in the Holocaust.

Sadly, I see it getting worse, not better.  The war between the West and the Muslim world, that I strongly believe will be fought during this century, will no doubt claim millions of lives, because nuclear weapons will probably be used.
Cats: You just gotta love them!

Offline JamesAPrattIII

  • Knyaz
  • ****
  • Posts: 712
    • View Profile
Re: How deadly was the 20th century compared to other?
« Reply #2 on: February 28, 2013, 08:06:49 PM »
In earlier centuries a goverment just did not have the power, technology, and resources to carry out mass killings. In the 1700s there are few battles where there are over 100,000 men present on each side. In the 1800s there are more. In the 1900s there were battles where millions of men were involved. Also in the 1700s and 1800s I don't think there were to many leaders around who would have thought about carrying out a genocide. Note the Turks did carry out a mass killing 200,000 ? of the Armenians in the 1880s-1890s?. In the 1900s sadly brought some really nasty people to power who had the means and will to carry out a genocide. The Young Turks and the Armenians, Stalin and the misnamed kulaks, Hitler and the jews, Mao and his own people. Even worse there are people out there who deny these mass killings occured. One good thing about the 2000 is you can't carry out a mass killing ect without the whole world knowing about it.

Offline edubs31

  • Velikye Knyaz
  • ****
  • Posts: 1001
    • View Profile
Re: How deadly was the 20th century compared to other?
« Reply #3 on: February 28, 2013, 09:29:47 PM »
Quote
One good thing about the 2000 is you can't carry out a mass killing ect without the whole world knowing about it.

Yes. In the 21st century your mass genocide will be broadcast live on YouTube.

In spite of technology making it easy to kill larger numbers of people and quickly, certain other centuries prior to the 1700s were extremely deadly. For many people in many societies during Medievel times or pre/post-Pax Romana your chances of dying violently or by disease was probably higher than through natural causes.
Once in a while you get shown the light, in the strangest of places if you look at it right...

Offline TimM

  • Velikye Knyaz
  • ****
  • Posts: 1856
    • View Profile
    • Rex and Hannah Chronicles Wikia
Re: How deadly was the 20th century compared to other?
« Reply #4 on: March 01, 2013, 06:06:19 AM »
Quote
For many people in many societies during Medievel times or pre/post-Pax Romana your chances of dying violently or by disease

The Black Death, that wiped out half the population of Europe in the Middle Ages, comes to mind here.
Cats: You just gotta love them!