Author Topic: Just a thought. What if he abdicated in 1905?  (Read 4246 times)

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Offline rosieposie

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Just a thought. What if he abdicated in 1905?
« on: June 28, 2014, 06:17:04 AM »
Just wondering what would have happen if Nicholas abdicated in 1905 during the first wave of protests?  Would things have been different?
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Offline TimM

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Re: Just a thought. What if he abdicated in 1905?
« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2014, 12:02:22 PM »
Well, Nicholas and his family probably would not have been murdered like they were.  There wouldn't have been the hatred towards than that Lenin and his thugs fed upon.
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Offline edubs31

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Re: Just a thought. What if he abdicated in 1905?
« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2014, 10:02:00 PM »
Interesting question, but a pretty big stretch to think Nicholas would have even considered abdication in 1905. The autocracy may have been bruised after Bloody Sunday and Russian losses in the Russo-Japanese War but the vast majority of its subjects were not prepared to force their Tsar into abdication.

If Nicholas did give up the crown however it would have created an extremely difficult situation. A crisis in the law of succession. Alexei, all of a year old and inflicted with hemophilia would theoretically have had to wait in the wings for fifteen years while his Uncle Michael acted as regent. I honestly find it hard to believe the monarchy could have sustained for that long under those circumstances. A Kerensky-style figure probably would have appeared at some point along the line and would have pulled Russia towards either a British-style Constitutional Monarchy or a pure Republic.

Beyond that it's impossible to tell what the fate of Russia would have been. Would War War I have ever taken place? If not, or if Russia had never gotten involved, would a radical like Lenin have ever been able gain traction? Or was Lenin and communism destined to appear anyway, as a response to the fragile state of Russian politics floundering under either a Kerensky-style Presidency or a weak-willed Michael Alexandrovich led monarchy?

The only thing that seems relatively certain, as Tim points out, is that the imperial family would almost have certainly been spared death at the hands of blood thirsty radicals. By 1918 there either would not have been a revolution and civil war, or Nicholas and his family would have been long and far removed from Russia.
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