You keep repeating this "99.9% match" chant, but again - that's wrong, the match was 100%. Yes, any maternal relative of Gertrude's will have the same mtDNA, but this is not what I am talking about when I say less than 1% chance. Statistically speaking it is impossible that AA just happened to be some random maternal relative of Gertrude's and not FS, her sister. Again: based on the mtDNA bank comparison, the chance that AA was Gertrude's random maternal relative is less than 1% - which means impossible.
We seem to be continuosly discussing apples and oranges. Anyway, I am going to give up on this because it is obvious that we are not speaking the same language...
Helen >> ...the match was 100%. Yes, any maternal relative of Gertrude's will have the same mtDNA<<
Bear: "...any maternal relative of Gertrude's will have the same mtDNA...<<
InquiringMind tells us the following:
I am trying very hard to see everyone's point of view.
Please bear with me. I want to ask if this is how it works.
I have the same mtdna as my mother and her mother. Yes?
My grandmother had a sister(same mother) who was very fruitful. She has 13 children. So her 13 children's mtdna would match mine?
Ten of the 13 were daughters. They had at least 5 children apiece. So would those 50+ people have the same mtdna as I?
We have lost track of this branch of the family basically because of the large number of people involved.
So let's say that 25 of the 50+ were women. And for illustration 10 of them are now mothers. Would these ten people have the same mtdna as I?
In just 3 generations from one woman were there about 70 or more people who have my mtdna? Many of these people live in my part of the state. But I would not recognize them or their marraige names at this point.
I think Bear is saying that during FS's time many people went missing. Many people also didn't stray too far from where they were born. People had large families.
So this is why I question if AA was FS or relative to FS.
Does mtdna mutate in three or four generations or would the children of the ten match mine 99% or would there be differences?
Thanks
She is telling us in her own family that 70+ female cousins in 3 generations would have the same mtDNA. Some whom have lost contact.
My one grandmother had 93 descendants before she died. Over half were females. This means that I have more than 46 cousins [first to third] with the same mtDNA. That was back in the 1980s. We all have lost count since then. A couple of months ago, I discovered I have a cousin 's daughter living about a mile from where I live and others living about five miles away..... I would not reconize them if I came face to face.
There is, also, a family joke regarding to a family on my father's side. If a person lives in a particular state who is a particular religion and is a GR [German Russian] then he or she is probably a cousin which dates back to ONE female ancestor who migrated to Russia in 1806. And if not related then he/she is married to a cousin. Yep, they were a healthy long living bunch who produced like rabbits.
So, I'm not sure about your 1% stat, Helen.
Remember, the Schanzkowsky were said to be connected to an old Polish noblemen, then the odds even go higher. The upper circles had more money, more land and along with this better food which resulted in more children living to be adults.
AGRBear