Tsarfan, the situation in Russia was not the same as in Western Europe or the United States. As James pointed out, most assassination attempts on Western leaders and heads of state were perpetrated by lone individuals, many of whom were mentally ill. In Russia terrorism was a highly organized affair carried out by revolutionary groups like the People’s Will and later, under Alexander II’s grandson, Nicholas II, even by an actual political party, the Socialist Revolutionaries.
Elisabeth, I never asserted that the
causes of 19th century assassination were the same across Europe and the U.S.
I was trying to make two points. The first was that any western leader in the 19th century had good reason to fear for his or her safety, regardless of the cause. For all the revolutionary attempts on the tsars, only one was actually assassinated by someone outside the royal family or high nobility. More non-Russian monarchs were killed than Russian monarchs.
The second point was not that Russia had no serious revolutionary movement. It most assuredly did. The point was that other governments, which had their own reasons to worry about the rise of socialist thinking in the 19th century, adjusted their policies to make revolutionary movements less appealing . . . and they were largely successful. Russia was unique not in having revolutionary sentiment within her borders, but in her rigid refusal (at least between Alexander II's death and 1905) to make any course adjustments whatsoever to meet those threats, other than increased repression. In fact, I think your quote from Marc Raeff is a very astute observation on that very point. Indeed, one rigid, unchanging force generated a counterforce of equally immutable resistance. (By the way, I would argue that the
contretemps really had its origins not in the 1850's, but back with the Decembrist revolt and Nicholas I's response in beginning to build the intelligence infrastructure of a police state.)
Now, all that being said, my posts really began as a riposte to the view that Nicholas and Alexandra were justified in isolating themselves in response to fears of assassination. I cannot help but think of the situation in which Elizabeth I found herself. If ever a monarch lived under constant threat of death, it was she. Numerous plots, both against her person and her throne were unmaksed throughout her reign. The Pope declared that anyone who murdered her would have the blessing of the Church. Several assassin squads were financed from the continent. An armada was launched against her rule, two of her senior nobles were executed for revolutionary plots, an assassin came within feet of her inside the circle of her court.
Her response was to take stock of the reasons that her reign generated such sentiments, to moderate her religious policies, to acknolwedge the economic agenda of the emerging middle class, to create a sense that Englishmen could take a wide range of views and still be loyal Englishmen, and always to keep herself in front of her court and her people. She died an old lady, having left a small island with a more tolerant and inclusive government, poised to begin its march toward worldwide empire.
Again, I think the Raeff quote speaks eloquently to the underlying distinction between western liberal thought and Russian autocratic principles in referring to the universities as the recurrent incubator of Russian revolutionaries. To advance economically in a mercantile or industrial economy, any nation needs a highly educated population. And in the process of getting educated, many people acquire the very troubling habit of thinking for themselves. The Romanovs never came to a reckoning with this inevitability.
I never really thought of it in these terms before, but the latter stages of Romanov rule under Alexander III and Nicholas II was really government by hiding -- hiding inside rural palaces; hiding behind archaic political theories; hiding behind a state-controlled Church; hiding from change; hiding from the people; and ultimately even hiding from their own extended family, nobility, and ministers. Finally, all the hiding worked . . . and Russia moved on without them.