griff wrote:
....[in part]...
Oh AGRBear, just a quick note to say how nice it is to hear from you. Please share some of your great American history insights. Hey do you think if Witte had lived, knowing his strong support of Michael, that Witte would have been had the power to establish Michael, and overcome the fear that seemed to grip Rodzianko and the others? Well anyway Nighty night....
Because Nicholas II had not given anyone warning or had not even given a hint that he was about to or going to abdicate, Michael had not made any kind of prepartations for the transfer of power.
Due to Michael's exile due to his marriage, he had not only been out of the country for a time but he had been out of the political loop which gave him even a greater disadvantage.
Without Michael's preparation, whcih would have involved gathering of supporters, making promises to undesided people and all the rest of the poltiical juggling needed, AND, the need of troops, around him which would protect him in the transitition, I doubt if Witte had been alive, that it would have made a difference just in this event, the transfer of power from Nicholas II to Michael.
It's been awhile since I've read MICHAEL AND NATASHA by Crawford and A FATAL PASSION by M. J. Sullivan, so I don't rcall the exact details of those particular days after abdication and Michael's arrest.
If I recall correctly, it was not Nicholas II who informed Michael that he was Emp. and Tsar. So there was a laspe of time, which was important, to this transfer of power, that was lost. Those first important hours were not only important to Michael's reign, those hours allowed all his enemies, who knew, and, had been part of causing the abdication, time needed for continued treachery.
Perhaps, this should be discussed on it's own thread, if it's not already in exsistence.
Discussion about Witte and his influences, if he had been alive, I believed he died in 1915, would be a good "what if" thread. That, too, may have already been discussed. If it has maybe someone can direct us to the thread which must be old and we may not be able to pull it up due to the changes of the URLs and the new.
Back to Wilson.
Remember, and I think Elisabeth has already mentioned this fact, that Wilson and our Alliies needed Russia to stay in the war as long as they could. Even if it meant to recognize the Revolutionaries under Kerensky or the Counter- Revolutionists under Lenin. In this policitcal tight-rope-walking, every hour longer Russian troops remained on the Western Front helped the Allies....
AGRBear